Forecast Visualisation

Germany

2020-10-12

2020-10-19

2020-10-26

2020-11-02

2020-11-09

2020-11-16

2020-11-23

Poland

2020-10-12

2020-10-19

2020-10-26

2020-11-02

2020-11-09

2020-11-16

2020-11-23

Score Ranking

Only those forecasters are named who have submitted a forecast in the most recent evaluated week.

Overall

Overall separate

Germany

Poland

Score Overview

Overview of all the models and metrics

Overall

Overall separate

Germany

Overall

2020-10-12

2020-10-19

2020-10-26

2020-11-02

2020-11-09

2020-11-16

2020-11-23

Poland

Overall

2020-10-12

2020-10-19

2020-10-26

2020-11-02

2020-11-09

2020-11-16

2020-11-23

Overiew of Scores by Horizon

Overview of all models and metrics stratified by forecast horizons

horizon = 1

Overall

Overall separate

Germany

Poland

horizon = 2

Overall

Overall separate

Germany

Poland

horizon = 3

Overall

Overall separate

Germany

Poland

horizon = 4

Overall

Overall separate

Germany

Poland

Interval Score Components

Weighted interval score broken down into its components “overprediction penalty”, “underprediction penalty” and “sharpness”

Overall

Overall separate

Germany

Overall

2020-10-12

2020-10-19

2020-10-26

2020-11-02

2020-11-09

2020-11-16

2020-11-23

Poland

Overall

2020-10-12

2020-10-19

2020-10-26

2020-11-02

2020-11-09

2020-11-16

2020-11-23

Calibration

Interval Coverage

Overall

Overall separate

Plot of the percentage of true values captured by each prediction interval

Quantile Coverage

Overall

Overall separate

Plot of the percentage of true values below each predictive quantile level

Bias

Overall

Overall separate

Separate by date

2020-10-12

2020-10-19

2020-10-26

2020-11-02

2020-11-09

2020-11-16

2020-11-23