Scoring Report
Forecast Visualisation
Germany
2020-10-12
2020-10-19
2020-10-26
2020-11-02
2020-11-09
2020-11-16
2020-11-23
Poland
2020-10-12
2020-10-19
2020-10-26
2020-11-02
2020-11-09
2020-11-16
2020-11-23
Score Ranking
Only those forecasters are named who have submitted a forecast in the most recent evaluated week.
Overall
Overall separate
Germany
Poland
Score Overview
Overview of all the models and metrics
Overall
Overall separate
Germany
Overall
2020-10-12
2020-10-19
2020-10-26
2020-11-02
2020-11-09
2020-11-16
2020-11-23
Poland
Overall
2020-10-12
2020-10-19
2020-10-26
2020-11-02
2020-11-09
2020-11-16
2020-11-23
Overiew of Scores by Horizon
Overview of all models and metrics stratified by forecast horizons
horizon = 1
Overall
Overall separate
Germany
Poland
horizon = 2
Overall
Overall separate
Germany
Poland
horizon = 3
Overall
Overall separate
Germany
Poland
horizon = 4
Overall
Overall separate
Germany
Poland
Interval Score Components
Weighted interval score broken down into its components “overprediction penalty”, “underprediction penalty” and “sharpness”
Overall
Overall separate
Germany
Overall
2020-10-12
2020-10-19
2020-10-26
2020-11-02
2020-11-09
2020-11-16
2020-11-23
Poland
Overall
2020-10-12
2020-10-19
2020-10-26
2020-11-02
2020-11-09
2020-11-16
2020-11-23
Calibration
Interval Coverage
Overall
Overall separate
Plot of the percentage of true values captured by each prediction interval
Quantile Coverage
Overall
Overall separate
Plot of the percentage of true values below each predictive quantile level
Bias
Overall
Overall separate
Separate by date
2020-10-12
2020-10-19
2020-10-26
2020-11-02
2020-11-09
2020-11-16
2020-11-23
